Daily Markets

• Most Asian currencies kept to a tight range on Thursday as markets digested the Federal Reserve’s outlook of sticky inflation and slowing growth, although the dollar retreated as the central bank still projected more rate cuts this year. The Japanese yen was among the better performers for the day, moving back towards its strongest levels in five months on sustained safe-haven demand, and as focus remained on more tightening by the Bank of Japan. The Chinese yuan’s USD/CNY pair rose slightly after the People’s Bank of China kept its benchmark loan prime rate unchanged at record lows. Focus remained on more stimulus measures from Beijing. The dollar index and dollar index futures fell slightly in Asian trade, extending overnight declines after the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, as widely expected. But the central bank maintained its forecast of at least 50 basis points of rate cuts this year, even as it forecast higher inflation and cut its growth outlook for 2025. Chair Jerome Powell flagged continued uncertainty over the economy and the impact of President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs. But markets were somewhat relieved by the Fed making no drastic changes, despite growing fears of sticky inflation and slowing growth. Still, the prospect of lower interest rates weighed on the dollar. The greenback was already nursing a tumble to five-month lows, as investors fretted over the impact of Trump’s fiscal and trade policies.

Gold – XAU

Gold on Wednesday its intraday high of US$3051.82/oz and low of $3022.65/oz. Gold is up by 1.090% at US$3047.02/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

On the daily charts, gold trades higher than 20DMA (2197). If it drops below this level, it could lead to 2,100. The MACD is currently above the zero line and the histograms are showing an increasing trend, indicating that there may be upward movement in the coming sessions. The RSI is currently at 83.04, which is in the overbought region, suggesting there may be selling pressure in the next 2 to 3 sessions. The Stochastic Oscillator is also in the overbought territory but has given a positive crossover, indicating a bullish stance for intraday trades, but rebound in expected in all the overbought indicators.

Trading Strategy: Sell on Strength

Sell below 3050-3085 keeping stop loss closing above 3085, targeting 3012-3000-2,970 and 2960-2245-2930. Buy in between 3039-2900 with risk below 2900 targeting 3050-3059 and 3069-3077-3085.

Silver - XAG

Silver on Wednesday ts intraday high of US$34.07/oz and low of US$33.44/oz settle down by 0.665% at US$33.75/oz.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, silver is sustaining above 20MA (25.05), breakage above will lead to 23.73. MACD is below the zero line and histograms are increasing trend, bringing a bullish stance in the upcoming sessions. RSI is in the oversold region, indicating a sell signal for now. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the overbought region and gives a positive crossover to show an upside move for the intraday trade.

Trading Strategy: Buy on Dips

Buy in between 33.50-31.10, targeting 33.80-34.20-34.45 and 34.85-35.25-35.50-36.00 with stop loss should be placed on the breakage below 31.00. Sell in between 34.05-36.00 with a stop loss above 36.00 targeting 33.50-33.10-32.60 and 32.10-31.60-30.90.

Oil - WTI

Crude Oil on Wednesday day high of US$67.36/bbl, an intraday low of US$66.04/bbl, and settled up by 0.682% to close at US$66.99/bbl.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, oil is sustaining above its 100DMA i.e. 75.37, a support level, and breakage above will call for 77.48. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are in increasing mode will bring a bullish stance in the upcoming sessions. The Stochastic Oscillator is in the overbought region, giving a negative crossover to confirm a bearish stance; while the RSI is in the neutral region, more upside can be expected to reach the overbought region, which is highly probable.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell in between 67.50-74.85 with stop loss at 75.00; targeting 66.20-5.60-65.00-64.50 and 63.90-63.10. Buy above 66.50-63.05 with risk daily closing below 63.00, targeting 66.00-66.55-67.00 and 67.90-68.55-69.00.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD on Wednesday an intraday low of US$1.0859/EUR, a high of US$1.0945/EUR, and settled the day down by 0.359% to close at US$1.0904/EUR.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining above 100DMA (1.0800), which becomes immediate support, a break below will target 1.0717. MACD is above the zero line and histograms are increasing mode, bringing a bullish view. Stochastic is in oversold territory, giving negative crossovers to the bullish outlook for intraday. 14D RSI is currently in a neutral region and giving no directions to consider right now.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 1.0890-1.1035, targeting 1.0800-1.0725-1.0650 and 1.0600-1.0540-1.0490 with stop-loss at daily closing above 1.1035. Buy above 1.0890-1.0490 with risk below 1.0490 targeting 1.0935 and 1.0990-1.1035.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD on Wednesday low of US$1.2954/GBP, a high of US$1.3010/GBP, and settled the day down 0.0038% to close at US$1.3001/GBP.

Technicals in Focus:

On daily charts, prices are sustaining above 50DMA (1.2674) is becoming a support level. 14-D RSI is currently in a neutral region and direction is difficult to predict on an RSI basis. The Stochastic Oscillator is in oversold territory and gives a positive crossover to confirm a bullish stance. MACD is above the zero line, but histograms are increasing leading to movement.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Buy

Based on the charts and explanations above; buy in between 1.2960-1.2380 with a target of 1.2920-1.2960-1.2990 and 1.3040-1.0390-1.3140 with a stop loss closing below 1.2380. Sell in between 1.2990-1.3140 with targets at 1.2920-1.2850-1.2790-1.2753 and 1.2660-1.2590-1.2510 with a stop loss of 1.3140.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY on Wednesday an intra‐day low of JPY148.51/USD an intraday high of 150.14/USD, and settled the day down by 0.310% at JPY148.77/USD.

Technicals in Focus:

In daily charts, JPY is sustaining above 100DMA (155.35), major support on the daily chart. 14-D RSI is currently in the overbought region and chances of downward are expected based on RSI. MACD is above the zero line but histograms are in decreasing mode which might lead to downward movement. The Stochastic Oscillator is in overbought territory and signaling to sell as it has given a negative crossover to confirm a bearish stance.

Trading Strategy: Neutral to Sell

Sell below 149.00-159.50 with risk above 160.00 targeting 148.00-147.10-146.50 and 146.00-145.20-144.50. Long positions above 148.10-143.50 with targets of 148.00-148.60-149.00 and 150.00-150.60-151.10 with stops below 143.00.